Synthesis of bio-stabilized silver nanoparticles using Roccella montagnei, their anticandidal capacities & potential to inhibit the virulence factors in fluconazole-resistant Candida albicans.

Candida species is the causative agent in approximately 80% of invasive mycoses and drug-resistant Candida albicans is among the four strains of 'critical priority group' framed by WHO. Lichens are endowed with some rare phytochemicals and a plethora of therapeutics viz. antifungal capacities of Roccella montagnei. Biosynthesis of silver nanoparticles (AgNPs) using lichen could offer an eco-friendly, and cost-effective alternative against emerging 'microbial resistance.' Therefore, the objective was to biosynthesize silver nanoparticles (Rm-AgNPs) using a Hydro-alcoholic (1:1) extract of R. montagnei to develop a potent anticandidal agent against Fluconazole-resistant C. albicans NBC099. UV-Spectroscopy identified AgNPs specific-peak of Rm-AgNPs at 420-440 nm and FTIR revealed the presence of amines, alcohol, aromatic compounds, and acids. SEM and TEM analysis indicated that Rm-AgNPs are spherical shaped with a size range of 10-50 nm. Zetasizer analysis indicated that particles are highly stable and have a mean hydrodynamic diameter of 116 nm with a zeta potential charge of - 41 mV. XRD analysis suggested face centered cubic crystal lattice structure. Results indicated that Rm-AgNPs strongly inhibited the growth of NBC099 at a minimum inhibitory concentration (IC50) of ≤ 15 µg. C. albicans culture treated with Rm-AgNPs at concentrations below IC50, down-regulates the production of different virulence factors in NBC099, viz. hyphal formation (> 85%), biofilms production (> 80%), phospholipase, esterase, proteinase activity. The apoptosis assay demonstrated the Rm-AgNPs induced apoptosis in NBC099 cells via oxidative stress. Interestingly, Rm-AgNPs showed negligible cytotoxicity (< 6%) in murine RAW 246.7 macrophage cells at a concentration above 15 µg/mL. Therefore, Rm-AgNPs have been offered as an anti-candida alternative that can be utilized to improve the efficacy of already available medications.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of intrauterine spacers used to prevent the formation of intrauterine adhesions following endometrial cavity surgery.

AIM: To assess, from a United States (US) payer's perspective, the cost-effectiveness of gels designed to separate the endometrial surfaces (intrauterine spacers) placed following intrauterine surgery. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A decision tree model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of intrauterine spacers used to facilitate endometrial repair and prevent the formation (primary prevention) and reformation (secondary prevention) of intrauterine adhesions (IUAs) and associated pregnancy- and birth-related adverse outcomes. Event rates and costs were extrapolated from data available in the existing literature. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to corroborate the base case results. RESULTS: In this model, using intrauterine spacers for adhesion prevention led to net cost savings for US payers of $2,905 per patient over a 3.5-year time horizon. These savings were driven by the direct benefit of preventing procedures associated with IUA formation ($2,162 net savings) and the indirect benefit of preventing pregnancy-related complications often associated with IUA formation ($3,002). These factors offset the incremental cost of intrauterine spacer use of $1,539 based on an assumed price of $1,800 and the related increase in normal deliveries of $931. Model outcomes were sensitive to the probability of preterm and normal deliveries. Budget impact analyses show overall cost savings of $19.96 per initial member within a US healthcare plan, translating to $20 million over a 5-year time horizon for a one-million-member plan. LIMITATIONS: There are no available data on the effects of intrauterine spacers or IUAs on patients' quality of life. Resultingly, the model could not evaluate patients' utility related to treatment with or without intrauterine spacers and instead focused on costs and events avoided. CONCLUSION: This analysis robustly demonstrated that intrauterine spacers would be cost-saving to healthcare payers, including both per-patient and per-plan member, through a reduction in IUAs and improvements to patients' pregnancy-related outcomes.

Every year, women in the United States (US) undergo surgery to treat intrauterine abnormalities to maintain or improve the uterus' ability to support fetal development and result in a term delivery. Despite the benefits of these procedures, damage caused to the endometrium (uterine lining) is associated with a risk of adherence of the endometrial cavity surfaces with scar tissue known as intrauterine adhesions (IUAs).Damage to the endometrium and the resulting IUAs may be associated with infertility, light or absent menstruation, pregnancy loss, and other pregnancy-related complications. Treating these conditions within the US healthcare system consumes resources and adds costs for healthcare payers (public and private insurance providers).To facilitate endometrial repair and to reduce or prevent IUAs, researchers have developed materials to place within the endometrial cavity following surgery to separate the endometrial surfaces during the early healing period. These intrauterine "spacers" are intended to improve patients' subsequent clinical outcomes and save money for healthcare payers. It is unknown whether these improved clinical outcomes offset the cost of the routine use of spacers following "at-risk" procedures that involve the endometrial cavity.We developed a model designed to determine the cost-effectiveness of an intrauterine spacer by quantifying improvements in clinical outcomes and the resultant cost savings for patients undergoing uterine surgeries with or without spacers. Our model predicted that routinely using such spacers following at-risk procedures would improve patient outcomes and reduce costs to US payers.

Knowledge and perception regarding adverse drug reactions among undergraduate medical students of Bihar, Eastern India.

Background: Adverse drug reactions (ADRs) have national and international monitoring and are part of teaching-learning of undergraduate medical course and curriculum. Objectives: To find the knowledge and perception of ADRs among undergraduate medical students in a tertiary care teaching institute in eastern India. Materials and Methods: This was an observational cross-sectional study conducted among the MBBS medical students by administration of pre-designed, pre-tested, semi-structured questionnaires. The data on their knowledge and candid reflections on ADRs were analyzed question by question using software and compared with peers. Results: The responses from the participants on knowledge and perception of ADRs varied widely. Final-year students had the most precise response on classification, filing an ADR report, national reporting centers, and the first step in monitoring ADRs; the majority accepted their first- hand experience and legal and professional responsibilities on ADRs. Third-year students responded well on objectives, methods, and scope of patients on direct reporting or drug overdose and monitoring; respect patient confidentiality while reporting; and expect feedback from monitoring centers, with special training on ADR. Second-year students responded well on definitions, pharmacovigilance programs in India, alertness of banned drugs because of ADR, and related capacity building. Conclusions: The awareness and insight on ADRs of the undergraduate medical students were quite reasonable. However, further reinforcement is needed in future to be updated to relevant issues to their practice as primary care physicians.

Extramural venous invasion: a novel magnetic resonance imaging biomarker for adverse pathology in bladder cancer.

Extramural venous invasion (EMVI) recognized on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is an unequivocal biomarker for detecting adverse outcomes in rectal cancer: however it has not yet been explored in the area of bladder cancer. In this study, we assessed the feasibility of identifying EMVI findings on MRI in patients with bladder cancer and its avail in identifying adverse pathology. In this single-institution retrospective study, the MRI findings inclusive of EMVI was described in patients with bladder cancer that had available imaging between January 2018 and June 2020. Patient demographic and clinical information were retrieved from our electronic medical records system. Histopathologic features frequently associated with poor outcomes including lymphovascular invasion (LVI), variant histology, muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), and extravesical disease (EV) were compared to MRI-EMVI. A total of 38 patients were enrolled in the study, with a median age of 73 years (range 50-101), 76% were male and 23% were females. EMVI was identified in 23 (62%) patients. There was a significant association between EMVI and MIBC (OR = 5.30, CI = 1.11-25.36; P = 0.036), and extravesical disease (OR = 17.77, CI = 2.37-133; P = 0.005). We found a higher probability of presence of LVI and histologic variant in patients with EMVI. EMVI had a sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV) of 90%, 73%, 94% and 63% respectively in detecting extravesical disease. Our study suggests, EMVI may be a useful biomarker in bladder cancer imaging, is associated with adverse pathology, and could be potentially integrated in the standard of care with regards to MRI reporting systems. A larger study sample size is further warranted to assess feasibility and applicability.

Natural history, and impact of surgery and radiation on survival outcomes of men diagnosed with low-grade prostate cancer at ≤ 55 years of age: a 25-year follow-up of > 60,000 men.

PURPOSE: Low-grade prostate cancer has low mortality rates at 10 years; however, it is unclear if the response is sustained for up to 25 years of follow-up. METHODS: Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, the overall and cancer-specific mortality rates were compared among men ≤ 55 years of age diagnosed with low-grade prostate cancer that either had radical prostatectomy, radiotherapy, or no known treatment. RESULTS: Of the 62,772 men diagnosed with low-grade prostate cancer between 1975 and 2016, about 60%, 20% and 20% of men underwent radical prostatectomy, radiotherapy, and no known treatment, respectively. At a median follow-up of 10 years, almost 2% and 7% of men died of prostate cancer and other causes, respectively. The overall mortality was significantly better in radical prostatectomy group compared to no known treatment group (HR 1.99, CI 1.84-2.15, P value < 0.001), but not between the radiotherapy and no known treatment groups. Moreover, the overall and cancer-specific mortality rates in the radiotherapy group were almost two and three times compared to the radical prostatectomy group, respectively (HR 2.15, CI 2.01-2.29, P value < 0.001 for overall mortality and HR 2.87, CI 2.5-3.29, P value < 0.001 for cancer-specific mortality). CONCLUSIONS: The study confirms low mortality rates in men diagnosed with low-grade prostate cancer for over 25 years' follow-up. While radical prostatectomy improves survival significantly compared to no known treatment, radiotherapy is associated with an increase in overall and cancer-specific mortality, which may be related to long-term toxicities.

Comparative Study on the Behavior of Reinforced Concrete Beam Retrofitted with CFRP Strengthening Techniques.

Lateral reinforcement has a significant impact on the strength and ductility of concrete. Extra confinement is provided in this project by carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) sheets wrapped around the outside of reinforced concrete (RC) beams. To determine the failure criteria and maximum load-carrying capacity of beams, numerous specimens were cast and tested in a flexural testing machine. This paper presents the results of an experimental investigation of functionally damaged reinforced concrete beams repaired in flexure with CFRP sheets. The most essential variable in this study is the CFRP sheet scheme, and seven different strengthening schemes (B1 to B7) were explored in the experimental program. In conclusion, the findings of the study showed that flexural retrofitting of reinforced concrete beams with CFRP sheets is functionally effective, with restored strength and stiffness values roughly equivalent to or greater than those of the control beam (CB1). The efficiency of the flexural retrofitting mechanism appears to vary depending on the layout of the CFRP sheet. Steel rupture and concrete crushing were shown to be the most common failure modes in the investigation, causing CFRP sheets to break in retrofitted beams.

Total ischaemic time in STEMI: factors influencing systemic delay.

Total ischaemic time in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has been shown to be a predictor of mortality. The aim of this study was to assess the total ischaemic time of STEMIs in an Irish primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) centre. A single-centre prospective observational study was conducted of all STEMIs referred for pPCI from October 2017 until January 2019. There were 213 patients with a mean age 63.9 years (range 29-96 years). The mean ischaemic time was 387 ± 451.7 mins. The mean time before call for help (patient delay) was 207.02 ± 396.8 mins, comprising the majority of total ischaemic time. Following diagnostic electrocardiogram (ECG), 46.5% of patients had ECG-to-wire cross under 90 mins as per guidelines; 73.9% were within 120 mins and 93.4% were within 180 mins. Increasing age correlated with longer patient delay (Pearson's r=0.2181, p=0.0066). Women exhibited longer ischaemic time compared with men (508.96 vs. 363.33 mins, respectively, p=0.03515), driven by a longer time from first medical contact (FMC) to ECG (104 vs. 34 mins, p=0.0021). The majority of total ischaemic time is due to patient delay, and this increases as age increases. Women had longer ischaemic time compared with men and longer wait from FMC until diagnostic ECG. This study suggests that improved awareness for patients and healthcare staff will be paramount in reducing ischaemic time.

Combination therapy in metastatic castration sensitive prostate cancer: A Systematic review and network meta-analysis.

Introduction: Studies directly comparing the different combination therapies offered to men with metastatic castration sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC), are not available yet. This study was designed using the network meta-analysis (NMA) framework to provide a comparison of the different available options for the treatment of men with mCSPC. Methods: A systematic search was performed and the prospective randomized controlled trials reporting the overall survival (OS) or failure-free survival (FFS) were selected for review. A total of 14 studies were included in the NMA. Results: The addition of abiraterone, apalutamide, docetaxel, and docetaxel with zoledronic acid to the androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) demonstrated a significant improvement in the OS. In indirect comparison, abiraterone had a higher impact on the OS as compared to docetaxel (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.0-1.46) and docetaxel with zoledronic acid (HR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.05-1.63) but not apalutamide. Furthermore, apalutamide was not different than docetaxel or docetaxel with zoledronic acid. There was a significant improvement in the FFS with the combination of abiraterone, apalutamide, docetaxel (HR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.46-0.81), docetaxel with zoledronic acid (HR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.43-0.9), and enzalutamide (HR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.25-0.61) as compared to the ADT alone. Similar to the indirect comparison of OS, abiraterone outperformed docetaxel (HR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.12-2.47), docetaxel with zoledronic acid (HR: 1.69, 95% CI: 1.06-2.68), and enzalutamide (HR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.63-1.80), but not apalutamide in terms of impact on the FFS. Conclusion: Overall, abiraterone demonstrated better OS and FFS outcomes as compared to all the other combination strategies in this NMA.

Therapeutic efficacy of rifaximin loaded tamarind gum polysaccharide nanoparticles in TNBS induced IBD model Wistar rats.

BACKGROUND: Rifaximin is a non-systemic antibiotic used in the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Antibiotics are demonstrating a significant role in the treatment of IBD by altering the dysbiotic colonic microbiota and decreases the immunogenic and inflammatory response in the patient population. Mucoadhesive colon targeted nanoparticles provide the site-specific delivery and extended stay in the colon. Since the bacteria occupy the lumen, spread over the surface of epithelial cells, and adhere to the mucosa, delivering the rifaximin as a nanoparticles with the mucoadhesive polymer enhances the therapeutic efficacy in IBD. The objective was to fabricate and characterize the rifaximin loaded tamarind gum nanoparticles and study the therapeutic efficacy in the TNBS-induced IBD model rats. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The experimentation includes fabrication and characterization of drug excipient compatibility by FTIR. The fabricated nanoparticles were characterized for the hydrodynamic size and zeta potential by photon correlation spectroscopy and also analyzed by TEM. Selected best formulation was subjected to the therapeutic efficacy study in TNBS-induced IBD rats, and the macroscopic, microscopic and biochemical parameters were reported. RESULTS: The study demonstrated that the formulation TGN1 is best formulation in terms of nanoparticle characterization and hydrodynamic size which showed the hydrodynamic size of 171.4 nm and the zeta potential of -26.44 mV and other parameters such as TEM and drug release studies were also reported. CONCLUSIONS: The therapeutic efficacy study revealed that TGN1 is efficiently reduced the IBD inflammatory conditions as compared to the TNBS control group and reference drug mesalamine group.

Diosmetin Induces Modulation of Igf-1 and Il-6 Levels to Alter Rictor-Akt-PKCα Cascade in Inhibition of Prostate Cancer.

Growth signals, which typically originate from the surrounding microenvironment, are important for cells. However, when stimulation by growth factors becomes excessive and exceeds their threshold limit, deleterious effects may ensue. In patients with cancer, maintenance of tumors depends, at least in part, on growth factor stimulation, which can also facilitate cancer progression into advanced stages. This is particularly important when the tumor grows beyond its tissue boundaries or when it invades and colonizes other tissues. These aforementioned malignant events are known to be partly supported by elevated cytokine levels. Among the currently known growth signals, insulin-like growth factor (IGF)-1 and IL-6 have been previously studied for their roles in prostate cancer. Both IGF-1 and IL-6 have been reported to activate the RAPTOR independent companion of MTOR complex 2 (Rictor)/AKT/protein kinase C α (PKCα) signaling pathway as one of their downstream mechanisms. At present, research efforts are mainly focused on the exploration of agents that alter growth factor (such as IGF-1) and cytokine (such as IL-6) signaling for their potential application as therapeutic agents, as both of these have been reported to modulate disease outcome. In the present study, IGF-1 and IL-6 served distinct roles in the androgen responsive LNCaP cell line and in the androgen refractory PC-3 cell line in a dose- and time-dependent manner. Increased phosphorylation of Rictor at the Thr-1135 residue, AKT at the Ser-473 residue and PKCα at the Ser-657 residue were observed after treatment with IGF-1 and IL-6. Subsequently, it was found that diosmetin, a natural plant aglycone, had the potential to modulate the downstream signaling cascade of Rictor/AKT/PKCα to inhibit the progression of prostate cancer. Treatment of LNCaP and PC-3 cells with diosmetin inhibited the phosphorylation of Rictor (Thr-1135), AKT (Ser-473) and PKCα (Ser-657) in a dose-dependent manner. Furthermore, the Bax/Bcl-2 expression ratio was increased in response to diosmetin treatment, which would result in increased apoptosis. Based on these observations, diosmetin may represent a novel therapeutic target for prostate cancer.

Prediction of COVID-19 pervasiveness in six major affected states of India and two-stage variation with temperature.

Coronavirus disease knocked in Wuhan city of China in December 2019 which spread quickly across the world and infected millions of people within a short span of time. COVID-19 is a fast-spreading contagious disease which is caused by SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2). Accurate time series forecasting modeling is the need of the hour to monitor and control the universality of COVID-19 effectively, which will help to take preventive measures to break the ongoing chain of infection. India is the second highly populated country in the world and in summer the temperature rises up to 50°, nowadays in many states have more than 40° temperatures. The present study deals with the development of the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to predict the trend of the number of COVID-19 infected people in most affected states of India and the effect of a rise in temperature on COVID-19 cases. Cumulative data of COVID-19 confirmed cases are taken for study which consists of 77 sample points ranging from 1st March 2020 to 16th May 2020 from six states of India namely Delhi (Capital of India), Madya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Punjab, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh. The developed ARIMA model is further used to make 1-month ahead out of sample predictions for COVID-19. The performance of ARIMA models is estimated by comparing measures of errors for these six states which will help in understanding future trends of COVID-19 outbreak. Temperature rise shows slightly negatively correlated with the rise in daily cases. This study is noble to analyse the variation of COVID-19 cases with respect to temperature and make aware of the state governments and take precautionary measures to flatten the growth curve of confirmed cases of COVID-19 infections in other states of India, nearby countries as well.

An Indirect Comparison of Newer Minimally Invasive Treatments for Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia: A Network Meta-Analysis Model.

Objective: This study was designed to provide an indirect comparison of the urinary and sexual domain outcomes and complications after newer minimally invasive surgical therapy (MIST) of Aquablation, Rezum, and UroLift for benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) for transurethral resection of prostate (TURP). Methods: We searched Embase, Medline, and Cochrane in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses statement, in December 2019. Only randomized clinical trials (RCTs) that reported outcomes after treatment of BPH for prostate less than 80 g with Aquablation, Rezum, or UroLift were included in the analysis. Results: A total of four RCTs reporting the outcomes after treatment with newer MIST for BPH were identified. Patients undergoing the resective procedures, that is, TURP and Aquablation, had greater improvement in urinary domain outcomes: International Prostate Symptom Score, quality of life, peak flow rate, and postvoiding residual compared to patients undergoing nonresective procedures: UroLift and Rezum. Patients in UroLift group maintained a higher sexual function domain score compared to TURP, but not Aquablation. Our multiple comparison analysis did not reveal a significant difference in urinary and sexual domain scores between patients undergoing UroLift and Rezum at 24 months of follow-up. Conclusions: Aquablation and TURP necessitate general or regional anesthesia and both produced significantly better urinary domain scores compared to Rezum and UroLift. On the other hand, UroLift demonstrated better sexual function domain scores compared to TURP, but not Aquablation. There was no significant difference in urinary domain scores between UroLift and Rezum at 24 months of follow-up.

Pathology grade influences competing mortality risks in elderly men with prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Recent guidelines recommend active management of prostate cancer (CaP), especially high-risk disease, in elderly men. However, descriptive data from a large cohort with extended follow up on the risk of death from CaP in men diagnosed over 70 years of age and its relationship to Gleason score (GS) and serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) level is lacking. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, we evaluated the influence of GS and serum PSA levels on the risks of mortality from PC (PCM) and mortality from other causes in localized (LPC) and metastatic (MPC) disease in elderly population. METHODS: Men diagnosed with PC over 70 years of age between 2004 and 2016 were divided into LPC and MPC groups, categorized by age: 70-74, 75-79, 80-84, 85-89, and ≥90 years and stratified by GS <7, 7, and >7, and serum PSA level <4, 4-10, 10-20, 20-50, and >50 ng/mL. Competing risk estimates for PCM and mortality from other causes were generated for both groups. RESULTS: Of the 85,649 men, 85.5 % were LPC at diagnosis. Overall, at a median follow up of 4 years, 15% of the men had died including a third from PC. While <15% of men with GS ≤7 died from PC, the PCM was >30% in men with GS >7 in LPC group, which accounted for almost half of total deaths for age 70-84 years. The GS >7 was also significantly associated with PCM in men with MPC. Furthermore, PCM directly correlated with serum PSA levels, with mortality rates reaching up to 50% and 70% for PSA >50 ng/dl for LPC and MPC, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: There is a substantial risk of dying in men diagnosed with LPC over 70 years of age with GS >7 or a serum PSA >20 ng/mL. Furthermore, the risk for death for MPC directly correlated with GS with PCM increasing from 10%-30% for GS ≤7 to >50% for GS >7. The data, in conjunction with other clinical parameters such as comorbidities could be used to counsel elderly men on management options of PC for both localized and metastatic PC.

Intracorporeal versus extracorporeal urinary diversion following robot-assisted radical cystectomy: a meta-analysis, cumulative analysis, and systematic review.

Over the last decade, the increased utilization of robot-assisted radical cystectomy (RARC) in the surgical treatment of muscle-invasive bladder cancer has led to an uptrend in intracorporeal urinary diversions (ICUD). However, the operative results comparing ICUD to extracorporeal urinary diversion (ECUD) have varied widely. We performed a meta-analysis to analyze perioperative outcomes and complications of ICUD compared to ECUD following RARC. This study is registered at International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) CRD42020164074. A systematic literature review was conducted using PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases in August 2019. A total of six studies comparing ICUD vs ECUD were identified and meta-analysis was conducted on these studies. In addition, a cumulative analysis was also performed on 83 studies that reported perioperative outcomes after RARC and ICUD or ECUD. The Weighed Mean Difference of operative time and blood loss between ICUD and ECUD group was (16; 95% confidence interval - 34 to 66) and (- 86; 95% confidence interval - 124 to - 48), respectively. ICUD and ECUD had comparable early (30-day) and mid-term (30-90-day) complication rate (RR 1.19; 95% confidence interval 0.71-2.0; p = 0.5) and (RR 0.91; 95% confidence interval 0.71-1.15 p = 0.4) respectively. In the 83 studies that were included in the cumulative analysis, the mean operative time for ileal conduit and neobladders by ICUD were 307 and 428 min, respectively, compared to ECUD 428 and 426 min, respectively. ICUD and ECUD have comparable short- and mid-term complication rate. The ICUD group has lower blood loss and lower rate of blood transfusion compared to ECUD.

Study of ARIMA and least square support vector machine (LS-SVM) models for the prediction of SARS-CoV-2 confirmed cases in the most affected countries.

Discussions about the recently identified deadly coronavirus disease (COVID-19) which originated in Wuhan, China in December 2019 are common around the globe now. This is an infectious and even life-threatening disease caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). It has rapidly spread to other countries from its originating place infecting millions of people globally. To understand future phenomena, strong mathematical models are required with the least prediction errors. In the present study, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and least square support vector machine (LS-SVM) models are applied to the data consisting of daily confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 in the most affected five countries of the world for modeling and predicting one-month confirmed cases of this disease. To validate these models, the prediction results were tested by comparing it with testing data. The results revealed better accuracy of the LS-SVM model over the ARIMA model and also suggested a rapid rise of SARS-CoV-2 confirmed cases in all the countries under study. This analysis would help governments to take necessary actions in advance associated with the preparation of isolation wards, availability of medicines and medical staff, a decision on lockdown, training of volunteers, and economic plans.

Comparative efficacy of apalutamide darolutamide and enzalutamide for treatment of non-metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer: A systematic review and network meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Studies using apalutamide, enzalutamide, or darolutamide have shown improved metastasis free survival (MFS) rates, leaving clinicians with a dilemma of choosing one over the other, for nonmetastatic castration recurrent prostate cancer (nmCRPC). We performed a network meta-analysis to provide an indirect comparison of oncologic outcomes and adverse events (AEs) of these medications. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We searched PubMed, MEDLINE, and SCOPUS databases, for studies reporting apalutamide, enzalutamide, or darolutamide until January 25, 2020. Results were input into an EndNote library, and data were extracted into a predefined template. Progression free survival (PFS) was defined as radiologic progression or death. Network meta-analysis was done using R and meta-analysis was performed with RevMan v. 5. Surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) value was used to provide rank probabilities. RESULTS: We found 3 studies reporting results for apalutamide, enzalutamide, and darolutamide. MFS was significantly lower in patients receiving darolutamide compared to both apalutamide (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.73, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.55-0.97) and enzalutamide (HR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.54-0.93). MFS was similar for enzalutamide and apalutamide (HR: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.73-1.28). In PFS, apalutamide showed a slightly higher rate compared to darolutamide (HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.59-0.99). There was no difference in overall survival (OS) between any of the medications. There was no statistically significant difference in AEs profile of the 3 medications. However, darolutamide had the highest SUCRA value and probability of being the most preferred medication based on AEs profile. CONCLUSION: Enzalutamide and apalutamide had similar and higher MFS rate in indirect comparison with darolutamide. In cases where AEs are concerning, darolutamide might be the preferred agent.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Methods Used to Reduce Infectious Complications Following Transrectal Prostate Biopsy.

We reviewed and analyzed the most effective methods to reduce infectious complications (IC) after transrectal prostate biopsy (TRPB). We included only prospective randomized-controlled trials in the analysis. The analysis neither demonstrated any superiority of fluoroquinolones over other antibiotic classes nor of targeted antibiotics over empiric regimens in men undergoing TRPB. However, longer course antibiotics (3 days or more) compared to single dose or day regimens, combination of fluoroquinolones with aminoglycosides compared to fluoroquinolones alone and povidone-iodine rectal cleansing compared to control significantly reduced IC following TRPB. A combination of addition of aminoglycosides to oral antibiotics for 3 days along with povidone-iodine rectal cleansing may be an optimum strategy to minimize the risk of IC after TRPB.

Development of new hybrid model of discrete wavelet decomposition and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models in application to one month forecast the casualties cases of COVID-19.

Everywhere around the globe, the hot topic of discussion today is the ongoing and fast-spreading coronavirus disease (COVID-19), which is caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2). Earlier detected in Wuhan, Hubei province, in China in December 2019, the deadly virus engulfed China and some neighboring countries, which claimed thousands of lives in February 2020. The proposed hybrid methodology involves the application of discreet wavelet decomposition to the dataset of deaths due to COVID-19, which splits the input data into component series and then applying an appropriate econometric model to each of the component series for making predictions of death cases in future. ARIMA models are well known econometric forecasting models capable of generating accurate forecasts when applied on wavelet decomposed time series. The input dataset consists of daily death cases from most affected five countries by COVID-19, which is given to the hybrid model for validation and to make one month ahead prediction of death cases. These predictions are compared with that obtained from an ARIMA model to estimate the performance of prediction. The predictions indicate a sharp rise in death cases despite various precautionary measures taken by governments of these countries.

Combination Therapy for Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Randomized clinical trials have shown combination therapy to be superior in progression-free survival (PFS) rates when compared with sunitinib alone. However, there have been no direct comparisons among the combination strategies making it unclear as to which may be the preferred option. We performed a network meta-analysis of the combination therapy (immune checkpoint inhibitor plus axitinib or bevacizumab) used in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) and provided a rank order preference based on PFS, and adverse events (AEs). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A systematic search on the treatment of mRCC using combination therapy till July 2019 was done. Studies reporting on combination therapies with immune checkpoint inhibitor plus axitinib or bevacizumab for mRCC were selected. Frequentist method was used for rank order generation. RESULTS: A total of 3 studies consisting of 2672 patients were selected. All combination therapies demonstrated improved PFS when compared with sunitinib alone. The rank order for PFS showed combination of pembrolizumab plus axitinib had the highest probability of favorability followed by avelumab plus axitinib and atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (surface under the cumulative ranking 0.9, 0.7, and 0.4, respectively). For AEs, pembrolizumab plus axitinib had the least AEs ≥grade 3, followed by avelumab plus axitinib and atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (surface under the cumulative ranking 0, 0.5, 1.0). CONCLUSIONS: This network meta-analysis demonstrates that combination of pembrolizumab plus axitinib may be the preferred option based on efficacy and side effect profile compared with avelumab plus axitinib or atezolizumab plus bevacizumab. However, all the 3 combination strategies were superior to sunitinib alone in improving PFS in patients with mRCC.

Meta-analysis and systematic review of intermediate-term follow-up of prostatic urethral lift for benign prostatic hyperplasia.

BACKGROUND: Prostatic urethral lift (PUL), is a relatively new minimally invasive procedure for treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH).This article is a systematic review and meta-analysis of all the articles published including follow-up of at least 24 months to analyze sustainability of results. METHODS: We performed a critical review in according to the preferred reporting items for systematic review and meta-analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. From a total 768 published articles that matched our search terms, 5 studies with minimum follow-up of 24 months were selected for comparison and data analyzed in terms of baseline characteristics, functional, and sexual health outcomes. RESULTS: Included in the analyses are five studies with a minimum follow-up of 24 months. A total of 386 patients underwent PUL and 322 patients (83.4%) are available for follow-up at 24 months. The randomized studies are grouped as group A and non-randomized studies as group B. At 24 months, the mean reduction in International Prostate Symptom Score (IPSS) from baseline was 9.1 in group A and 10.4 in group B. The mean improvement in peak flow rate (Qmax) was 3.7 mL/s in group A and 3 mL/s in group B, and quality of life (QoL) improved by 2.2 in both groups. CONCLUSION: PUL is a well-tolerated, minimally invasive therapy for BPH that provides favorable and durable symptomatic, sexual health, and functional outcomes up to 24 months. Longer follow-up and randomized studies comparing to current standards are required to further confirm the long-term sustainability of PUL.